ZoneBtuBTU per head, per room, per orientation — not one number for the house.

What size mini split does a 500 sq ft bedroom in Manchester, NH need?

500 ft² bedroom in Manchester, NH
9,000BTU/hr
8,820 BTU/hr of load at 17.6 BTU/ft² — the figure for 614 cooling degree days
500 ft² bedroom in Manchester, NH9,000 BTU/hrHead size to buy8,820 BTU/hrCalculated load10,000 BTU/hrWhat the 20 BTU/f…
Head size to buy9,000BTU/hr
Calculated load500 ft² × 17.6 BTU/ft²8,820BTU/hr
BTU per square foot hereinterpolated from Manchester's 614 cooling degree days17.6BTU/ft²
What the 20 BTU/ft² rule givesthe rule overshoots by 12% here10,000BTU/hr
Summer design temperature90°F
Winter design temperaturea mini split heats too — this is the number that decides whether it can carry the room alone-5°F
Summer day–night swinga dry climate25°F
Days at or above 90°F14days/yr
Oversize from the size stepwithin the normal step2%

Notes

  • The "20 BTU per square foot" rule is a Midwest number. Manchester runs 614 cooling degree days, which works out to 17.6 BTU/ft² — so for this bedroom the rule overshoots by 12%. A single national figure has to be wrong somewhere, and this is where.
  • Bedroom: the room where oversizing hurts most — quiet, low load, long runtimes wanted.
  • 9,000 BTU/hr sits close to the load, which is where a mini split works best. Inverter equipment is happiest running long and slow at part load; it is the short, hard cycles of an oversized head that leave a room cold and damp.
  • Manchester is dry — nights fall 25°F below the afternoon high, which only happens when there is little water in the air. Latent load is small, so nearly all of the head's capacity goes into temperature. A slightly undersized head is forgiving here: it simply runs longer.
  • Do not forget the winter side. Manchester designs to -5°F. That is cold enough that a standard head will have lost a large part of its rated capacity by the time it is needed most — check the manufacturer's capacity table at -5°F, not the nameplate, and look at hyper-heat rated equipment.
  • Where these numbers come from. Concord, Concord Municipal Airport, 21 km from downtown Manchester, daily records 2015–2024. Design temperatures are calibrated against published ASHRAE values at eight airports and land within about 2°F of them.

The short answer

A 500 square foot bedroom in Manchester, NH needs a head of about 9,000 BTU per hour. The calculated load is 8,820 BTU/hr.

Where that number comes from

Manchester, NH runs 614 cooling degree days a year, which puts the room at 17.6 BTU per square foot rather than the 20 BTU/ft² the generic charts use. Applied to this room the rule gives 10,000 BTU/hr.

The winter half of the question

Manchester, NH designs to -5°F. A mini split is a heat pump, and its heating capacity falls as the outdoor temperature drops — the nameplate is measured at 47°F, not at the temperature you actually need it.

Sizing a single room is not sizing a house

There is no other room to absorb a mistake. An oversized head short-cycles, never runs long enough to dehumidify, and leaves the room cold and damp.

Nearby sizes

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