ZoneBtuBTU per head, per room, per orientation — not one number for the house.

What size mini split does a 500 sq ft bedroom in Durham, NC need?

500 ft² bedroom in Durham, NC
12,000BTU/hr
11,964 BTU/hr of load at 23.9 BTU/ft² — the figure for 1,976 cooling degree days
500 ft² bedroom in Durham, NC12,000 BTU/hrHead size to buy11,964 BTU/hrCalculated load10,000 BTU/hrWhat the 20 BTU/f…
Head size to buy12,000BTU/hr
Calculated load500 ft² × 23.9 BTU/ft²11,964BTU/hr
BTU per square foot hereinterpolated from Durham's 1,976 cooling degree days23.9BTU/ft²
What the 20 BTU/ft² rule givesthis room needs 20% more than the rule says10,000BTU/hr
Summer design temperature95°F
Winter design temperaturea mini split heats too — this is the number that decides whether it can carry the room alone18°F
Summer day–night swinga fairly dry climate21°F
Days at or above 90°F53days/yr
Oversize from the size stepwithin the normal step0%

Notes

  • The "20 BTU per square foot" rule is a Midwest number. Durham runs 1,976 cooling degree days, which works out to 23.9 BTU/ft² — so for this bedroom the rule is 20% short. A single national figure has to be wrong somewhere, and this is where.
  • Bedroom: the room where oversizing hurts most — quiet, low load, long runtimes wanted.
  • 12,000 BTU/hr sits close to the load, which is where a mini split works best. Inverter equipment is happiest running long and slow at part load; it is the short, hard cycles of an oversized head that leave a room cold and damp.
  • Durham is fairly dry — summer nights stay within 21°F of the day's high, the signature of humid air. A meaningful share of this head's work is removing moisture, and it only removes moisture while it is running. This is the climate where an oversized head produces a room that reads cold and feels clammy.
  • Do not forget the winter side. Durham designs to 18°F. A cold-climate rated head will hold most of its capacity there, but a standard one will not — ask for the capacity at 18°F in writing.
  • Where these numbers come from. Raleigh-Durham International Airport, 16 km from downtown Durham, daily records 2015–2024. Design temperatures are calibrated against published ASHRAE values at eight airports and land within about 2°F of them.

The short answer

A 500 square foot bedroom in Durham, NC needs a head of about 12,000 BTU per hour. The calculated load is 11,964 BTU/hr.

Where that number comes from

Durham, NC runs 1,976 cooling degree days a year, which puts the room at 23.9 BTU per square foot rather than the 20 BTU/ft² the generic charts use. Applied to this room the rule gives 10,000 BTU/hr.

The winter half of the question

Durham, NC designs to 18°F. A mini split is a heat pump, and its heating capacity falls as the outdoor temperature drops — the nameplate is measured at 47°F, not at the temperature you actually need it.

Sizing a single room is not sizing a house

There is no other room to absorb a mistake. An oversized head short-cycles, never runs long enough to dehumidify, and leaves the room cold and damp.

Nearby sizes

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