ZoneBtuBTU per head, per room, per orientation — not one number for the house.

What size mini split does a 200 sq ft bedroom in St. Petersburg, FL need?

200 ft² bedroom in St. Petersburg, FL
6,000BTU/hr
5,523 BTU/hr of load at 27.6 BTU/ft² — the figure for 3,921 cooling degree days
200 ft² bedroom in St. Petersburg, FL6,000 BTU/hrHead size to buy5,523 BTU/hrCalculated load4,000 BTU/hrWhat the 20 BTU/f…
Head size to buy6,000BTU/hr
Calculated load200 ft² × 27.6 BTU/ft²5,523BTU/hr
BTU per square foot hereinterpolated from St. Petersburg's 3,921 cooling degree days27.6BTU/ft²
What the 20 BTU/ft² rule givesthis room needs 38% more than the rule says4,000BTU/hr
Summer design temperature94°F
Winter design temperaturea mini split heats too — this is the number that decides whether it can carry the room alone39°F
Summer day–night swinga humid climate14°F
Days at or above 90°F85days/yr
Oversize from the size stepwithin the normal step9%

Notes

  • The "20 BTU per square foot" rule is a Midwest number. St. Petersburg runs 3,921 cooling degree days, which works out to 27.6 BTU/ft² — so for this bedroom the rule is 38% short. A single national figure has to be wrong somewhere, and this is where.
  • Bedroom: the room where oversizing hurts most — quiet, low load, long runtimes wanted.
  • 6,000 BTU/hr sits close to the load, which is where a mini split works best. Inverter equipment is happiest running long and slow at part load; it is the short, hard cycles of an oversized head that leave a room cold and damp.
  • St. Petersburg is humid — summer nights stay within 14°F of the day's high, the signature of humid air. A meaningful share of this head's work is removing moisture, and it only removes moisture while it is running. This is the climate where an oversized head produces a room that reads cold and feels clammy.
  • Do not forget the winter side. St. Petersburg designs to 39°F. That is mild enough that heating capacity is not the constraint here; size for cooling and the heating follows.
  • Where these numbers come from. Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., 20 km from downtown St. Petersburg, daily records 2015–2024. Design temperatures are calibrated against published ASHRAE values at eight airports and land within about 2°F of them.

The short answer

A 200 square foot bedroom in St. Petersburg, FL needs a head of about 6,000 BTU per hour. The calculated load is 5,523 BTU/hr.

Where that number comes from

St. Petersburg, FL runs 3,921 cooling degree days a year, which puts the room at 27.6 BTU per square foot rather than the 20 BTU/ft² the generic charts use. Applied to this room the rule gives 4,000 BTU/hr.

The winter half of the question

St. Petersburg, FL designs to 39°F. A mini split is a heat pump, and its heating capacity falls as the outdoor temperature drops — the nameplate is measured at 47°F, not at the temperature you actually need it.

Sizing a single room is not sizing a house

There is no other room to absorb a mistake. An oversized head short-cycles, never runs long enough to dehumidify, and leaves the room cold and damp.

Nearby sizes

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